📊 Stock Volume Analysis
The company has a market cap of ₹47,271 Cr and is debt-free, indicating a strong financial position. Last month, the monthly chart recorded historically high volumes, a sign of strong market activity.
However, a negative signal is observed – a large wick on the upper side of the candle, suggesting that when the price went up, sellers aggressively sold, overpowering buyers.
This pattern is commonly seen when a stock reaches a strong resistance level, leading to increased selling pressure.
Glaxo ltdHigh Volume
💰 Revenue Growth – A Major Concern
The company’s revenue growth has been stagnant, which is a significant concern.
In March 2012, the revenue was ₹2,647 Cr, and by March 2024, it reached only ₹3,454 Cr.
This means only a 30% growth in 12 years – and if adjusted for inflation, the real growth is almost zero!
No major expansion has been observed, which could be a negative sign for future growth.
Revenue Analysis
📉 Margins are Declining Operating margin is shrinking:
March 2012: 31%
March 2024: 26% Declining margins indicate:
Rising cost pressures
Loss of pricing power
Increased competition, where new players are entering the market, and GSK is unable to maintain its monopoly.
🏦 Reserves Are Depleting
The company’s reserves are consistently decreasing:
March 2013: ₹1,922 Cr
March 2024: ₹1,503 Cr Falling reserves indicate that:
The company is not retaining enough profits.
It is possibly making heavy payouts without reinvesting in the business.
In the long run, this could be risky if the company does not focus on expansion and innovation.
Reserves Analysis
🏗 Why is There No Capex? The company is not investing in capital expenditure (Capex), meaning:
No new plants
No R&D facilities
No investment in new product lines
Without significant investments, how will the company grow?
A stagnant business is a long-term risk for investors, as its market share may gradually decline.
Final Verdict – What’s the Future of the Stock? ✅ Positives:
âś” Debt-free company with a strong financial position.
âś” Good market capitalization, meaning no liquidity issues.
❌ Concerns:
🚨 Revenue growth is stagnant.
🚨 Operating margins are shrinking.
🚨 Reserves are depleting.
🚨 No Capex, which limits future growth potential.
âš Technical Red Flag:
The large wick candle suggests that sellers still dominate the stock.
If the price fails to break the resistance, further correction is possible.
Since 2012, similar chart patterns have led to selling pressure, and stocks with this pattern have often declined.
Conclusion:
📉 GSK Pharma is a fundamentally strong but stagnant company.
📊 Lack of growth, shrinking margins, and no Capex indicate that the stock might not generate strong returns in the near future.
âš If the resistance is not broken, the stock could see further corrections.
🔍 Investors should carefully assess whether they want to hold a company with limited growth potential.
“Blue – Chip companies are by definition the companies that have MADE IT BIG. Blue chip stocks are shares of very large and well-recognized companies with a long history of sound financial performance. These stocks are known to have capabilities to endure tough market conditions and give high returns in good market conditions. Blue chip stocks generally cost high, as they have good reputation and are often market leaders in their respective industries.”
WHAT ARE BLUE CHIP STOCKS?
The term Blue Chip stock was coined in 1923 by a Dow Jones employee, Oliver Gingold , referring to some high priced shares of $200 above, at a brokerage firm.
Blue chip Stocks are companies that are often worth billions of dollars, pay dividends & have a long history of reliable operations. This comes from the game of POKER where the blue chip carries the highest value.
It is a stocks of companies which are leading in its sector and are famous at the national level having a record of giving continuous dividend payments and other strong investment qualities. Usually have a great reputation for QM (Quality management), product & services. Generally, blue chip stocks are the safest stocks to invest in.
This stock is usually the market leader or come in the top three companies in its sector and are very well known and also have the market capitalization in billions. Ben Graham in his book The Intelligent Investor has written that an investor should look for a company which has been giving its investors dividends for twenty years or more. This thought gives us an idea of how a such stocks should be.
Blue-chip stocks are synonymous with fewer debts, consistent dividends/returns and goodwill of the company. Such stocks are not only safe but also help investors in mitigating risks. Blue chip stocks have experienced a number of bear phrase, a market downturn, financial troubles, etc., but since they are survived, they are still going strong. When the market corrects blue chip, stocks remain stable. This stability in share price is the biggest benefit of blue chips. If in any situation their price falls, this fall is slower and recovers again soon.
FEATURES OF BLUE CHIP SOCKS:
Large Market Capitalization –
Since blue chip stocks are the leaders in their respective sectors they have a market cap of Rs. 20k Crores.
Risk and returns
Blue Chip Stocks are considered safe investment options as they can endure economic downturns and are not highly volatile. They also present a slow but moderate growth potential. These are typically dividend paying stocks where the payment is made quarterly. It is advisable to diversify your portfolio when investing in individual stocks, to avoid company risk.
Dividend Payments
A solid trend which shows that the company pays dividends to its shareholders in a timely and consistent basis is a great morale booster for a stock owner simply because it acts as a cherry on the cake. It is income over and above your capital appreciation so, for example, a 20% dividend would mean an extra 20% income over and above your investment appreciation in a particular blue-chip company.
Remarkable Performance Even in the Economic Downturns:
When we talk about blue chip stocks, it can be recognized as one of those stocks which perform well even when there is a downfall in the market or economy.
The diversification
Blue chip companies tend to be large corporates with an international portfolio that spans several sectors. For instance, BP is ostensibly an oil and gas company, but it also owns its own petrol stations, a string of convenience stores in the US, as well as the Wild Bean Coffee Company in the UK. This gives the firm some exposure to the retail and consumer markets, in addition to the commodities sector.
ADVANTAGES OF BLUE CHIP STOCKS:
The tax—free benefits
Every blue chip stock is eligible for inclusion within a stocks and shares ISA, which means that all of your returns are protected from taxation. Blue chips can also be held within a lifetime ISA or a self—invested personal pension (SIPP), meaning that you can keep blue chip stocks in your pension portfolio without paying any tax on the interest that you accrue.
Price stability:
Price stability of blue chip stocks in falling market is one of its biggest advantages. It does not mean that price of blue chip stocks does not fall when index is falling. Its price will also fall, but the fall will be slower and recovery will be faster.
Long-Term Returns:
These stocks provide stable returns in the long run.
Regular Dividends:
These stocks are known for providing routine returns in the form of dividends to their shareholders as a result of their efficient dividend policy.
DISADVANTAGES OF BLUE SHIP STOCKS:
This is a wrong assumption. No company can continue to enjoy its prime position forever.Some known examples are: Reliance Communication, DLF, Kodak, Nokia, Lehman Brothers, etc.
High Downside Risk:
There is a considerable market risk associated with the blue chip companies too. The reason being, some of these organizations fail to keep up with the competition, leading to the downfall of their stock prices.
Older Companies
As a younger investor, you have a significant advantage over older stock buyers. You very likely have an understanding and knowledge of the hot new products in sectors like technology and retail. These products are often sold by newer, hipper companies that will not be on anybody’s blue chip stock list. Any money invested in an older, boring, established blue chip company is money you do not have to purchase stocks of companies that are on the cutting edge of what is happening in the economy.
Slower Growth:
In most cases this is true. As Blue chip companies are all matured, large companies, hence their future growth is not as fast. If we will compare potential returns of a good “growth stocks” verses a blue chip stock, the latter cannot win. Hence, it is essential to estimate ones investment goal accurately. If objective is faster capital appreciation in long term, growth stocks are better.