Tag: bearish

  • How Volume Confirms a Real Breakout in Stocks

    How Volume Confirms a Real Breakout in Stocks

    1. What Does a Breakout Mean?
    A breakout occurs when a stock crosses above a key resistance level. A resistance level is a price point where the stock repeatedly struggled to go higher. When the stock finally breaks through it, it suggests that buying pressure has increased.

    Example:
    If a stock was repeatedly getting rejected near ₹200, and today it closes above ₹200 with strong volume, it’s considered a breakout.

    2. Why Is a Breakout with High Volume Significant?
    Volume indicates how many shares are being traded.
    When a breakout happens with high volume, it means the breakout is likely genuine, not a false move.
    High volume shows that big players or institutions are also participating.

    This adds conviction to the move, and suggests that prices could go even higher.

    3. Why Is This Considered a Positive Signal?
    When a breakout occurs with a technical pattern (like a flag, cup & handle, or ascending triangle), and is confirmed by volume, it is seen as a bullish signal.
    Traders see it as a buying opportunity.
    Investors consider it an indication of a possible short- or medium-term rally.

    4. What Should You Do If You Spot This Signal?
    If a stock is breaking out:

    First, identify key support and resistance levels.
    Check if the breakout is confirmed on a closing basis.
    See if volume is 1.5x to 2x higher than the average.
    Always define a stop-loss — typically just below the breakout level.

    Final Summary in One Line:
    “When a stock breaks above strong resistance with high volume, it’s a powerful bullish signal that can lead to a short-term rally.”

    Stock Analysis

  • WHAT IS PUT CALL RATIO

    WHAT IS PUT CALL RATIO

    DEFINITION:

    “The ratio of the volume of put options traded to the volume of call options traded, which is used as an indicator sentiment (bullish or bearish).”
    Put-call ratio (PCR) is an indicator that forecast the trend of the INDEX/STOCKS.

    A “Put” or put option is a right to sell an asset at a predetermined price. A “Call” or call option is right to buy an asset at a predetermined price. Many traders use options for directional beta; buying call when market bullish & buying put when market bearish.

    PCR is a popular derivative indicator, specifically designed to help traders gauges the overall sentiment of the market. The ratio is calculated either on the basis of options trading volumes or on the basis of the open interest for a particular period.

    This indicator will show you which gang is dominating the market; the bearish gang (short masters), or the bullish gang (long masters).

    The put call ratio can be calculated for any individual stock, as well as for any INDEX, or can be aggregated.

    HOW TO ANALYSES PCR:   

    The put call ratio is calculated by the dividing the number of OPEN INEREST of put option by the number of OPEN INEREST of call option.

    PCR (OI) = PUT OPEN INTEREST ON GIVEN DAY/ CALL OPEN INTEREST ON SAME DAY:

    PCR for marker wide position can be also be calculated by taking total number of OI for all OI call options & for all OI options in a given series.The PCR can be calculated for indices, indivu

    Eg.

    PUT (OI)                                                        CALL (OI)

    CURRENT MONTH                                  CURRENT MONTH
    NEXT MONTH                                           NEXT MONTH
    FAR MONTH                                               FAR MONTH

    PCR = PUT (OI)/ CALL (OI)
    PCR = ?

    • A rising put-call ratio, or a ratio greater than .7 or exceeding 1, means that equity traders are buying more puts than calls. It suggests that bearish sentiment is building in the market. Investors are either speculating that the market will move lower or are hedging their portfolios in case there is a sell-off.
    • A falling put-call ratio, or below .7 and approaching .5, is considered a bullish indicator. It means more calls are being bought versus puts.

     

    Also Read | What is Index?

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